Posted in NFL, Picks
11/15 2009

NE Patriots VS IND Colts

NE Patriots VS IND Colts

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New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts

It’s never easy to know what Patriot HC Bill Belichick is going to do on any given week, but it appears as though New England wants to get back to its 2007 ways with the spread offense. QB Tom Brady can be effective in this type of system as he has the ability to minimize a defense’s pass rush by processing information quickly and getting the ball out of his hands just as fast. RB Laurence Maroney did have 20 carries last week, but New England believes it can create a sustaining run game if necessary. The Indy secondary will have to face route recognition problems that the Patriots will likely employ, as the Texans were able to get some big plays by doing just that last Sunday against the Colts. Meanwhile, all Indianapolis did was stay perfect at 8-0, with a 20-17 win against the Texans. Still, the Colts are walking a precarious line with QB Peyton Manning throwing the ball 40 times on 50 plays in the first half last week. TE Dallas Clark should have opportunities against Patriot LBs, but the Colts may need to be able to run the ball with RBs Joseph Addai and a returning Donald Brown this Sunday. In the end, the Colts have regressed in recent weeks, while the Patriots are seemingly improving. The difference in this one will be the Indy injuries in the secondary, as Tom Brady and company have their way early and then grind it out late with the run to play keep away from Manning. The play is the Patriots and the UNDER.

Refs: Scott Green’s crew will be working the game in Indianapolis. Scott’s team has a 60% win rate for the visiting team this year.

Weather: Indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium

Pick: Take Patriots +3

Winner